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A Game-Theoretic Analysis of Home Court Advantage and Optimal Offensive Strategy in Basketball

Kozy, James E., III

Abstract Details

2011, Master of Science, University of Akron, Applied Mathematics.
This paper intends to construct a game-theoretic model with which to analyze the impact of home court advantage on a visiting team's offensive strategy, specifically the balance between two and three-point shots attempted. We develop the Home Court Advantage Model to assist in our analysis. The model determines the optimal offensive strategy when one takes into account parameters that reflect the changes in offensive output by a basketball team when playing on the road. In this case this is manifested in lower shooting percentages, particularly on two-point shot attempts. The model also accounts for statistical data suggesting that three-point shot percentages are not affected as dramatically by home court advantage as are two-point shot percentages. We draw several conclusions, including that as a team's two-point shot percentage decreases, the team should actually shoot more two-point shots to optimize their overall offensive efficiency. We conclude our model with a study of the home court advantage of the 2008-2009 Cleveland Cavaliers, applying the model specifically to post-season play.
Gerald Young, Dr. (Advisor)
Curtis Clemons, Dr. (Committee Co-Chair)
Timothy Norfolk, Dr. (Advisor)
29 p.

Recommended Citations

Citations

  • Kozy, III, J. E. (2011). A Game-Theoretic Analysis of Home Court Advantage and Optimal Offensive Strategy in Basketball [Master's thesis, University of Akron]. OhioLINK Electronic Theses and Dissertations Center. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=akron1306497821

    APA Style (7th edition)

  • Kozy, III, James. A Game-Theoretic Analysis of Home Court Advantage and Optimal Offensive Strategy in Basketball. 2011. University of Akron, Master's thesis. OhioLINK Electronic Theses and Dissertations Center, http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=akron1306497821.

    MLA Style (8th edition)

  • Kozy, III, James. "A Game-Theoretic Analysis of Home Court Advantage and Optimal Offensive Strategy in Basketball." Master's thesis, University of Akron, 2011. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=akron1306497821

    Chicago Manual of Style (17th edition)