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Bayesian Principles and Causal Judgment

Kelley, Amanda M.
http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=bgsu1182278277

Abstract Details

2007, Doctor of Philosophy (Ph.D.), Bowling Green State University, Psychology/Experimental.
There has been extensive research on the ability to perceive causal and correlational relationships between variables. Recently, Bayesian principles have been brought to bear on this topic. The purpose of the present study was to assess whether people are sensitive to the probabilities of samples with varying mathematical characteristics drawn from correlated versus uncorrelated populations. Also of interest was the formation of judgments of causality, examined using concurrent process tracing techniques, including verbal protocol. Participants were presented with seven samples, three with determinate and four with indeterminate correlations, and were asked to rank them with respect to the likelihood that the sample indicated a positive causal relationship. Participants did show, under some circumstances, sensitivity to the probability that a sample had been drawn from a correlated versus an uncorrelated population, supporting the hypothesis that people take an inferential approach to causal judgment.
Richard Anderson (Advisor)
112 p.
BAYESIAN PRINCIPLES; indeterminate-absent; indeterminate-present

Recommended Citations

Citations

  • Kelley, A. M. (2007). Bayesian Principles and Causal Judgment [Doctoral dissertation, Bowling Green State University]. OhioLINK Electronic Theses and Dissertations Center. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=bgsu1182278277

    APA Style (7th edition)

  • Kelley, Amanda. Bayesian Principles and Causal Judgment. 2007. Bowling Green State University, Doctoral dissertation. OhioLINK Electronic Theses and Dissertations Center, http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=bgsu1182278277.

    MLA Style (8th edition)

  • Kelley, Amanda. "Bayesian Principles and Causal Judgment." Doctoral dissertation, Bowling Green State University, 2007. http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=bgsu1182278277

    Chicago Manual of Style (17th edition)

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© 2007, all rights reserved.
This open access ETD is published by Bowling Green State University and OhioLINK.